Case Overview
The item pool includes consumer-grade, restricted, and classified skins, with selective inclusion of covert-tier entries. The rarity distribution follows a moderate gradient, where mid-tier outcomes dominate the probability space while premium items remain infrequent. This creates a balanced structure with identifiable thematic consistency and controlled spread between outcome tiers.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is primarily supported by mid-tier items with stable trading activity, while rare items contribute marginally due to low probability weighting. Variance is moderate, influenced by the gap between frequent outcomes and less common high-tier entries. Risk factors include reliance on sustained demand for Anubis collection skins and limited exposure to premium items, which constrains deviation from the mean.