Case Overview
The case uses a tiered distribution where common outcomes typically form the largest share, while higher-rarity assets occupy narrower probability bands. This creates a measurable framework for assessing pool depth, rarity balance, and value distribution across the complete set of outcomes.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected return is shaped by rarity weighting, liquidity, and demand stability. Value concentration in limited premium outcomes increases variance, while broader mid-tier coverage may support steadier statistical expectations. Key factors include outcome concentration, item turnover, and market relevance across rarity groups.