Case Overview
The item pool includes skins across common, restricted, classified, and premium categories. Most outcomes are derived from frequent tiers, while a smaller portion of rare items contributes significantly to theoretical value. Market positioning depends on thematic coherence and secondary-market activity.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected return is shaped by probability weighting and the distribution of value across tiers. High concentration in rare items increases variance and reduces short-term predictability. A more diversified structure with liquid mid-tier skins can support a more stable expected-value profile over larger samples.