★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
 Aggregated data from multiple sources

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)(Field-Tested)

Drop chance: 0.004% - 0.358%

Case price: $7.80 - $900.00

Skin price: $798.93 - $1050.01

csgomarket
$745.12
waxpeer
$722.90
steammarket
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Description

📊 Statistical Analysis

Drop rate range0.004% – 0.358%EV contribution (low)$0.03EV contribution (high)$3.76Case cost range$7.80 – $900.00Cases needed (avg)27925,000

EV contribution shows how much this skin statistically adds to the expected return per case opening. A higher contribution relative to case cost indicates better statistical value. Case opening results are random — individual outcomes will vary from these estimates.

The Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened is one of the most iconic pattern-based finishes in CS2, beloved for its unpredictable blend of blues, golds, and purples. Its unique heat-treated metal appearance makes every knife visually distinct, adding significant appeal for collectors.

Visual Description

Case Hardened features a blade coated in irregular patches of metallic colors created through simulated heat tempering. These patches range from vibrant sapphire blue to gold, bronze, and violet hues. The Butterfly Knife’s narrow blade emphasizes streaks and color clusters, making pattern distribution especially visible during spinning animations. Handle components remain dark, framing the bright, chaotic patterns of the blade.

History and Origin

One of the first finishes to use randomized pattern generation, Case Hardened quickly became a legendary cosmetic due to the rarity of desirable color placements. When applied to the Butterfly Knife, the finish offered some of the most dynamic pattern variations in the model’s lineup. Communities of collectors emerged around identifying valuable patterns, cementing its place in CS skin culture.

Popularity and Usage

Case Hardened remains extremely popular among players who enjoy collectible, pattern-dependent skins. Those who prefer blue-themed inventories especially seek out “blue gem”-style distributions. Meanwhile, casual players appreciate the finish’s unique blend of colors and its energetic, metallic personality.

Price Formation Factors

Pattern placement is the key factor—blades with heavy blue or visually pleasing symmetry are often significantly more desirable. Float value influences shine but has minimal effect on the underlying color fields. Market demand for rare patterns and the enduring popularity of Butterfly Knives also have a strong impact on pricing.

FAQ

Do all Case Hardened knives look different?
Yes, every knife has a unique color distribution.

What makes a desirable pattern?
Large, uninterrupted blue sections—commonly called “blue gems”—are highly sought after.

Does wear affect the colors?
Wear reduces gloss slightly but preserves main color patches.

Price Information

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is tracked across multiple CS2 platforms with varying statistical profiles. Market price for this skin ranges from $798.93 - $1050.01 depending on platform and case. Drop rate varies between 0.004% - 0.358% across different cases, with case costs ranging from $7.80 - $900.00. Use the EV block above to compare statistical value across listings.