★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
 Aggregated data from multiple sources

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)(Minimal Wear)

Drop chance: 0.001% - 0.369%

Case price: $5.80 - $550.00

Skin price: $639.40 - $871.61

csgomarket
$604.21
waxpeer
$581.27
steammarket
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Description

📊 Statistical Analysis

Drop rate range0.001% – 0.369%EV contribution (low)$0.01EV contribution (high)$3.22Case cost range$5.80 – $550.00Cases needed (avg)271100,000

EV contribution shows how much this skin statistically adds to the expected return per case opening. A higher contribution relative to case cost indicates better statistical value. Case opening results are random — individual outcomes will vary from these estimates.

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a highly collectible finish known for its colorful heat-treated patterns and unique patchwork of blues, purples, and golds. This article examines its appearance, history, popularity, and the many factors that influence its value.

Visual Description

The Case Hardened finish is created through a simulated heat-treatment process, producing irregular patches of blue, bronze, gold, and purple across the M9’s large blade. The expansive surface area makes the coloration especially dramatic, with each knife showing a distinct arrangement of colored sections. Low-wear versions have stronger saturation and cleaner metallic shine, while higher-wear examples appear more matte, emphasizing the deeper tones. Certain knives feature highly desirable “blue” sections, particularly when prominent across the blade’s flat side.

History and Origin

Case Hardened was inspired by real-world metal hardening techniques that create colorful oxidation patterns. Its unpredictable results made it a fan favorite from early CS skin collections. Because the M9 Bayonet has one of the largest blade surfaces, the finish displays more visible color variation than on compact knives. In CS2, lighting upgrades improved color depth and enhanced the reflective quality of the heat-treated effect.

Popularity and Usage

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is extremely popular among collectors, especially those who pursue high-blue patterns. It pairs well with metallic weapon skins, blue gloves, and loadouts focused on rare pattern aesthetics. For many players, Case Hardened knives serve as centerpiece items due to their unique, one-of-a-kind appearance.

Price Formation Factors

Value can vary widely depending on pattern distribution, float level, and the presence of large blue areas. “Blue gem”-style patterns are the most sought-after, though classifications remain community-defined rather than officially recognized. Low floats improve shine and color intensity, making them more desirable across all pattern types.

FAQ

Are rare Case Hardened patterns possible?
Yes—knives with high blue coverage are highly prized.

Does float matter?
Yes—low floats enhance shine and saturation.

Is the finish consistent?
No—every Case Hardened knife is unique.

Does it pair well with blue cosmetics?
Perfectly—blue gloves and rifles complement it extremely well.

Price Information

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is tracked across multiple CS2 platforms with varying statistical profiles. Market price for this skin ranges from $639.40 - $871.61 depending on platform and case. Drop rate varies between 0.001% - 0.369% across different cases, with case costs ranging from $5.80 - $550.00. Use the EV block above to compare statistical value across listings.