M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New)
 Aggregated data from multiple sources

M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New)(Factory New)

Drop chance: 0.001% - 1.977%

Case price: $5.00 - $700.00

Skin price: $957.91 - $1510.83

csgomarket
$751.87
waxpeer
$739.90
steammarket
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Description

📊 Statistical Analysis

Drop rate range0.001% – 1.977%EV contribution (low)$0.01EV contribution (high)$29.87Case cost range$5.00 – $700.00Cases needed (avg)51100,000

EV contribution shows how much this skin statistically adds to the expected return per case opening. A higher contribution relative to case cost indicates better statistical value. Case opening results are random — individual outcomes will vary from these estimates.

The M4A4 | Daybreak is a rare and visually radiant rifle skin, cherished for its warm golden tones and artistic detail. This article highlights its design, origins, popularity, and the key factors that influence its market value.

Visual Description

Daybreak features a shimmering mixture of gold and light amber hues arranged in a subtle patterned layout reminiscent of early morning sunlight. Decorative motifs inspired by Eastern art run along the receiver and handguard, creating a luxurious yet serene aesthetic. The finish blends warm gradients with fine ornamental detailing, giving the rifle a sophisticated presence. When inspected in-game, the metallic sheen reflects ambient light beautifully, enhancing the skin’s sunrise-inspired theme.

History and Origin

This skin originates from the Rising Sun Collection, a region-themed set known for its cultural motifs and distinctive palette choices. Daybreak stood out upon release due to its elegant composition at a time when bright, decorative designs were less common. Its rarity within the collection helped cement its reputation as a high-end collectible. Because the Rising Sun Collection is tied to operation-era distribution, Daybreak has remained relatively scarce compared to mainstream case skins.

Popularity and Usage

M4A4 enthusiasts who appreciate refined, ornamental artwork frequently choose Daybreak for its upscale visual style. The warm gold tones make it particularly photogenic, leading to its frequent appearance in showcase inventories and collector discussions. While not an everyday competitive pick due to its rarity, the skin maintains strong visibility within the trading community and among players who curate aesthetically themed loadouts.

Price Formation Factors

Daybreak’s value is shaped by its limited availability, strong collector interest, and the desirability of lower-wear variants where gradient transitions remain crisp. Wear level can noticeably affect the brightness of the gold tones and the clarity of ornamental details. Market scarcity associated with discontinued distribution significantly influences pricing, as does overall demand for premium M4A4 skins. StatTrak availability adds an additional collectible tier.

FAQ

Is Daybreak considered rare?
Yes, it is tied to a limited collection and is relatively uncommon in circulation.

Does wear impact its appearance?
Higher wear can dull the golden gradients, making lower floats more desirable.

Who typically chooses this skin?
Collectors and players who prefer elegant, culturally inspired aesthetics.

Price Information

The M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) is tracked across multiple CS2 platforms with varying statistical profiles. Market price for this skin ranges from $957.91 - $1510.83 depending on platform and case. Drop rate varies between 0.001% - 1.977% across different cases, with case costs ranging from $5.00 - $700.00. Use the EV block above to compare statistical value across listings.