M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New)
Ā Aggregated data from multiple sources

M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New)(Factory New)

Drop chance: 0.001% - 1.018%

Case price: $5.25 - $435.00

Skin price: $1472.48 - $3180.19

csgomarket
$1615.99
waxpeer
$1232.56
steammarket
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Description

šŸ“Š Statistical Analysis

Drop rate range0.001% – 1.018%EV contribution (low)$0.01EV contribution (high)$32.37Case cost range$5.25 – $435.00Cases needed (avg)98 – 100,000

EV contribution shows how much this skin statistically adds to the expected return per case opening. A higher contribution relative to case cost indicates better statistical value. Case opening results are random — individual outcomes will vary from these estimates.

The M4A4 | The Coalition offers a premium, military-inspired look that blends tactical styling with bold geometric accents in Counter-Strike 2. This article breaks down its visual identity, development background, usage trends, and the factors that influence its market value.

Visual Description

The Coalition features a high-contrast mix of deep navy, matte black, and sharp golden details arranged in a clean, regimented pattern. The rifle is coated with angular striping reminiscent of elite military units, giving it a disciplined, authoritative appearance. The gold trim highlights key sections of the weapon, creating a sleek, commanding aesthetic without excessive flashiness. Wear slightly reduces the vibrancy of the gold accents and softens edges, but the overall design remains intact even in more worn conditions.

History and Origin

Introduced through the Snakebite Case, The Coalition expanded the series of M4A4 skins that embrace modern special-operations themes. Its polished finish and striking color balance immediately distinguished it from more chaotic or artistic skins released in the same era. Built around concepts of precision, unity, and elite force symbolism, the skin aims to evoke high-ranking military gear. Its release coincided with a period of growing interest in clean, tactical weapon aesthetics, helping solidify its reputation early on.

Popularity and Usage

The Coalition is a favorite among players who appreciate structured, minimalist designs that maintain readability in competitive environments. Its crisp lines and controlled palette make it suitable for professional matches, casual play, and streaming alike. Many users incorporate it into themed loadouts centered on military-style skins. Its appeal spans both collectors and everyday players thanks to its balanced rarity and timeless tactical identity.

Price Formation Factors

Market value depends primarily on float condition, StatTrak availability, and point-of-supply factors related to Snakebite Case openings. Low-float versions with pristine gold detailing tend to attract higher demand. Broader market momentum, seasonal trading spikes, and interest in military-themed skins also contribute to valuation changes over time. Because it is a case-drop skin with consistent circulation, price trends closely follow active unboxing and player demand cycles.

FAQ

Is The Coalition available in StatTrak?
Yes, a StatTrak version exists.

Does the design change with pattern seeds?
No, the artwork is fixed across all drops.

Which case contains The Coalition?
It is part of the Snakebite Case.

Is it popular for competitive matches?
Yes, its clean lines and readable design make it a common choice in serious play.

Price Information

The M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) is tracked across multiple CS2 platforms with varying statistical profiles. Market price for this skin ranges from $1472.48 - $3180.19 depending on platform and case. Drop rate varies between 0.001% - 1.018% across different cases, with case costs ranging from $5.25 - $435.00. Use the EV block above to compare statistical value across listings.

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